Wheeling and dealing: An internal bargaining approach to moral uncertainty

This post explores and evaluates an internal bargaining approach to moral uncertainty. On this account, the appropriate decision under moral uncertainty is the one that would be reached as the result of negotiations between agents representing the interests of each moral theory, who are awarded resources in proportion to your credence in that theory. Download […]

Chart showing intervention effects on wellbeing with different treatment options.

Happiness for the whole family

We update our previous analysis to incorporate the household spillover effects for cash transfers and psychotherapy. We estimate that psychotherapy is 9 times (95% CI: 2, 100) more cost-effective than cash transfers. The charity StrongMinds is estimated to be 9 times (95% CI: 1, 90) more cost-effective than the charity GiveDirectly. Download report as PDF […]

Affective forecasting

This report explains the common mistakes we make when predicting the intensity and duration of our own and others’ feelings and the implications this has for global priorities research. Download report as PDF This report was produced as part of the ’s 2021 Summer Research Fellowship 1. Summary 2. Introduction 3. Intensity 4. […]

Histogram showing the relationship between donation amounts and happiness levels.

Donating money, buying happiness

Drawing on evidence from over 80 studies and over 140,000 participants, we compare the cost-effectiveness of cash transfers and psychotherapy by estimating their effect on the recipient’s subjective wellbeing and affective mental health. Download report as PDF November 2023: Update to our analysis We have made a substantial update to our psychotherapy report. This 90+ […]

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